Austria is, by most comparisons, a very successful economy, with low unemployment and a current account surplus. Its fiscal outlook is slightly better than Germany’s, according to IMF projections:Quelle: NYTimesYet Austria has had almost exactly the same interest rate experience as France. In June, both Austria and France had 10-year rates of 3.43%, 44 basis points above Germany’s 2.89. As of today, German rates were down to 1.91, but French rates were up to 3.47 — and Austrian rates up to 3.44. Both countries, in other words, have seen their spreads more than triple.
What exactly is going on here? Is the market worried about bank exposure? Is it pricing in a possible euro breakup? Lots to chew on here. But one thing is clear: fiscal rectitude — which the Austrians have displayed even more than the Germans — is no protection.
Dienstag, 22. November 2011
Paul Krugman über Österreich
Der renommierte, deshalb aber nicht weniger umstrittene bärtige Professor bloggte heute über Österreich: