Mittwoch, 10. Oktober 2012

Credit booms and financial crises

A new piece by Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor is available at vox. The article compares the severity of financial crises:

The central part played by credit in the deep downturn and weak recovery fits a recurring historical pattern. Financial crises correlate with more painful recessions. This column takes a close look at 14 advanced economies over the past 140 years and shows that larger credit booms during expansions have been systematically associated with more severe and prolonged slumps. In short, credit bites back. Measured against the historical benchmark, the recent US recovery has been far better than could have been expected.

via Paul Krugman